Analysis of Operational Control Data and Development of a Predictive Model of the Content of the Target Component in Melting Products

Abstract

The relevance of this research is due to the need to stabilize the composition of the melting products of copper–nickel sulfide raw materials. Statistical methods of analyzing the historical data of the real technological object and the correlation analysis of process parameters are described. Factors that exert the greatest influence on the main output parameter (the fraction of copper in a matte) and ensure the physical–chemical transformations are revealed: total charge rate, overall blast volume, oxygen content in the blast (degree of oxygen enrichment in the blowing), temperature of exhaust gases in the off-gas duct, temperature of feed in the smelting zone, copper content in the matte. An approach to the processing of real-time data for the development of a mathematical model for control of the melting process is proposed. The stages of processing of the real-time information are considered. The adequacy of the models was assessed by the value of the mean absolute error (MAE) between the calculated and experimental values.

Keywords

• statistical data
• data preparation
• correlation coefficient
• correlation analysis
• data approximation