Авіаційно-космічна техніка та технологія (Apr 2020)
SYSTEM MODELING OF STRATEGIC GOALS OF THE DEVELOPING ENTERPRISE UNDER CONSTRAINTS
Abstract
The task of forming the strategic goals of a developing enterprise is set and solved. The existing approaches mainly related to strategic planning without assessing enterprise reform goals feasibility are analyzed. The global goal of a developing enterprise which is decomposed to the sub-goals of the lower levels resulting in a hierarchical structure of goals is analyzed. The global goal tree is composed in a form of nested sub-goals, each of which corresponds to the direction of modernization and further requires long-term and short-term plans to be created to reform the production system. The decomposition of goals is carried out depending on the constraints of the enterprise. To make decisions on the implementation of the strategic goals of the company the already existing solutions based on the experience of domestic and foreign enterprise development are used. Ready-made solutions can only be used if they already have a positive experience in applying them as a set of measures to be taken and appropriate activities on the modernization of the production process, including production logistics. This allows optimizing the financial costs and reduces the timeline for upgrading. The possible solutions are made in the form of elements of a hierarchical precedent base (HPB) that corresponds to the tree of strategic goals of the developing enterprise. For each node of the strategic goals of the enterprise, a set of potential solutions from the practice of past positive experience is formed. If there is no set of network solutions for the reference point of strategic goals this indicates the need to either search for the new solutions or review of the current sub-goal. Each production upgrade solution requires some costs, lead times, and implementation risks and is formulated as a requirement in the HPB. A purposeful search for ready solutions for modernization is carried out using the method of lexicographic subordination of options. In case if there is no known solution for the modernization of the enterprise, the costs and timeline to fulfill the new goal in the context of increased risk are estimated. After the strategic goals tree is built, the feasibility assessment is performed based on the risk values of the individual goals. Convolution of individual risks is carried out from bottom to top, the content of decisions on individual sub-goals is considered. Also, the costs and timelines for modernization are considered to assess the overall feasibility.
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