Predicting the compressive strength of high-performance concrete using an interpretable machine learning model

Abstract

Abstract Reliable predictions of concrete strength can reduce construction time and labor costs, providing strong support for building construction quality inspection. To enhance the accuracy of concrete strength prediction, this paper introduces an interpretable framework for machine learning (ML) models to predict the compressive strength of high-performance concrete (HPC). By leveraging information from a concrete dataset, an additional six features were added as inputs in the training process of the random forest (RF), AdaBoost, XGBoost and LightGBM models, and the optimal hyperparameters of the models were determined using 5-fold cross-validation and random search methods. Four interpretable ML models for predicting the compressive strength of HPC, including the RF, AdaBoost, XGBoost and LightGBM models, which combine feature derivation and random search, were constructed. In addition, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was applied to analyze the effects of the input features on the prediction results of the LightGBM model, which combines feature derivation and random search. The results showed that input features such as age, water/cement ratio, slag, and water were the key influences for predicting the compressive strength of HPC. Input features such as the superplastic/cement ratio, slag/cement ratio, and ash/cement ratio had nonsignificant impacts on the predicted compressive strength.

Keywords

• Machine learning
• Proportional features
• Random search
• Compressive strength prediction
• SHapley Additive exPlanations