eLife (Apr 2023)

Biological brain age prediction using machine learning on structural neuroimaging data: Multi-cohort validation against biomarkers of Alzheimer’s disease and neurodegeneration stratified by sex

  • Irene Cumplido-Mayoral,
  • Marina García-Prat,
  • Grégory Operto,
  • Carles Falcon,
  • Mahnaz Shekari,
  • Raffaele Cacciaglia,
  • Marta Milà-Alomà,
  • Luigi Lorenzini,
  • Silvia Ingala,
  • Alle Meije Wink,
  • Henk JMM Mutsaerts,
  • Carolina Minguillón,
  • Karine Fauria,
  • José Luis Molinuevo,
  • Sven Haller,
  • Gael Chetelat,
  • Adam Waldman,
  • Adam J Schwarz,
  • Frederik Barkhof,
  • Ivonne Suridjan,
  • Gwendlyn Kollmorgen,
  • Anna Bayfield,
  • Henrik Zetterberg,
  • Kaj Blennow,
  • Marc Suárez-Calvet,
  • Verónica Vilaplana,
  • Juan Domingo Gispert,
  • ALFA study,
  • EPAD study,
  • ADNI study,
  • OASIS study

DOI
https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.81067
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 12

Abstract

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Brain-age can be inferred from structural neuroimaging and compared to chronological age (brain-age delta) as a marker of biological brain aging. Accelerated aging has been found in neurodegenerative disorders like Alzheimer’s disease (AD), but its validation against markers of neurodegeneration and AD is lacking. Here, imaging-derived measures from the UK Biobank dataset (N=22,661) were used to predict brain-age in 2,314 cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals at higher risk of AD and mild cognitive impaired (MCI) patients from four independent cohorts with available biomarker data: ALFA+, ADNI, EPAD, and OASIS. Brain-age delta was associated with abnormal amyloid-β, more advanced stages (AT) of AD pathology and APOE-ε4 status. Brain-age delta was positively associated with plasma neurofilament light, a marker of neurodegeneration, and sex differences in the brain effects of this marker were found. These results validate brain-age delta as a non-invasive marker of biological brain aging in non-demented individuals with abnormal levels of biomarkers of AD and axonal injury.

Keywords