MATEC Web of Conferences (Jan 2020)
Research on Expressway Travel Time Prediction Based on Exclusive Disjunctive Soft Set
Abstract
In order to study the prediction problem of expressway travel time, due to the ambiguity and uncertainty in the road traffic system, the travel time prediction model is established based on the exclusive disjunctive soft set theory. Through the parameter reduction theory of soft set, the main influence factors are extracted, and the mapping relationship between the influence factors and the travel time is obtained through the exclusive disjunctive soft set decision system. The travel time model is established based on the soft set theory, and the travel time is calculated through the mapping relationship. The experimental results show that, compared with the BPR function model, the travel time model based on the exclusive disjunctive soft set theory reduces the prediction error and effectively improves the calculation accuracy of the travel time.