January 2023: An Extremely Warm Winter Month in Thessaloniki, Greece

Abstract

During the last few years, extremely high temperatures have been recorded in many Greek regions and, in some cases, have been rather abnormal for each season. These extreme events appear to be persistent in duration and are occurring at a disconcerting frequency. The main objective of this study is to examine the exceptionally high temperatures that were recorded during January 2023 in Thessaloniki, Greece. The entire month was characterized by minimum and maximum temperatures that exceeded the climatological mean (1961–2000) by about 4.2 °C on average. Additionally, the average deviation for the mean maximum temperature of the month was calculated at 3.5 °C. In an attempt to classify the intensity of this possible extreme event compared to a future intermediate emission scenario (RCP4.5), a comparison of the observational data with the corresponding data from two future projections (2041–2060 and 2081–2100) of a high-resolution regional climate model was carried out. The spatial resolution of the simulations was 10 × 10 km and they were the result of the dynamical downscaling of the RegCM regional climate model after nesting a 25 km simulation of the model for the initial and boundary conditions. Finally, through this study, the contribution of the synoptic-scale atmospheric conditions of this event was examined.

Keywords

• January
• high temperatures
• winter
• Thessaloniki
• Greece
• RegCM4