RUSSIAN EXPERT SYSTEM ORISKON – ASSESSMENT OF THE MAJOR NON-COMMUNICABLE DISEASE RISK

Abstract

A new medical technology ORISKON (assessment of the major noncommunicable disease risk) is the first Russian expert system (ES) which not only assesses absolute and relative total levels of 10-year individual risk of major chronic non-communicable diseases (NCD), but also identifies high-risk groups and provides the basis for targeted, effective and cost-effective preventive interventions in these groups. This ES was developed using the prospective data of the 20-year follow-up of large representative population samples. Health parameters and factors used for the risk assessment were selected and defined according to the principles of evidence-based medicine and the expert recommendations and standards by the World Health Organization. While this ES is not a diagnostic tool, it can be used for the assessment of total NCD risk on its own or as a cost-effective component of the complex examination during dispanserisation and preventive screening.

Keywords

• risk assessment
• medical technology
• expert system