Frontiers in Oncology (May 2021)

Predicting Adverse Pathologic Features and Clinical Outcomes of Resectable Pancreas Cancer With Preoperative CA 19-9

  • Roman O. Kowalchuk,
  • Scott C. Lester,
  • Rondell P. Graham,
  • William S. Harmsen,
  • Lizhi Zhang,
  • Thorvardur R. Halfdanarson,
  • Rory L. Smoot,
  • Hunter C. Gits,
  • Wen Wee Ma,
  • Dawn Owen,
  • Amit Mahipal,
  • Robert C. Miller,
  • Michelle A. Neben Wittich,
  • Sean P. Cleary,
  • Robert R. McWilliams,
  • Michael G. Haddock,
  • Christopher L. Hallemeier,
  • Mark J. Truty,
  • Kenneth W. Merrell

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3389/fonc.2021.651119
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 11

Abstract

Read online

BackgroundWe evaluated preoperative CA 19-9 levels in patients with resected pancreatic cancer to analyze whether they were predictive of clinical outcomes and could help select patients for additional therapy. We hypothesized that elevated CA 19-9 would be associated with worse pathologic findings and oncologic outcomes.MethodsThis study assessed 509 patients with non-metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma who underwent resection at our institution from 1995-2011 and had preoperative CA 19-9 recorded. No patients received neoadjuvant therapy. CA 19-9 level was analyzed as a continuous and a dichotomized (> vs. ≤ 55 U/mL) variable using logistic and Cox models.ResultsMedian follow-up was 7.8 years, and the median age was 66 years (33-90). 64% of patients had elevated preoperative CA 19-9 (median: 141 U/mL), that did not correlate with bilirubin level or tumor size. Most patients had ≥ T3 tumors (72%) and positive lymph nodes (62%). The rate of incomplete (R1 or R2) resection was 19%. Increasing preoperative CA 19-9 was associated with extra-pancreatic extension (p=0.0005), lymphovascular space invasion (p=0.0072), incomplete resection [HR (95% CI) 2.0 (1.2-3.5)], and lower OS [HR = 1.6 (1.3-2.0)]. Each doubling in preoperative CA 19-9 value was associated with an 8.3% increased risk of death [HR = 1.08 (1.02-1.15)] and a 10.0% increased risk of distant recurrence [HR = 1.10 (1.02-1.19)]. Patients classified as non-secretors had comparable outcomes to patients with normal CA 19-9.ConclusionsElevated preoperative CA 19-9 level was associated with adverse pathologic features, incomplete resection, and inferior clinical outcomes. Neither tumor size nor bilirubin confound an elevated CA 19-9 level. Preoperative CA 19-9 level may help select patients for additional therapy.

Keywords