New Approach for Stochastic Modelling of Microgrid Containing CHP

Abstract

The focus in this article is on long term load forecasting and expansion generation planning of the microgrids containing multiple load type consumption. The novel approach of planning cogeneration systems by introducing the function of simultaneous heat and electricity duration is presented. The function is extended form of load duration curve in such a way as to capture the simultaneity of different type of energy load. The paper contains seven chapters. In the second chapter the load forecasting methods are summarized. In continuation as an introduction to the main goal of this article, definition, application and restriction of load duration curve is presented. In the fourth chapter, some outlines about cogeneration system planning are given. The new approach for planning of microgrid contacting CHP based on probabilistic approach is presented in the fifth chapter. In the sixth chapter are demonstrated some application functions of simultaneous heat and electricity duration as a tool for planning multi energy systems.

Keywords

• cogeneration
• function of simultaneous heat and electricity duration
• load forecasting
• microgrid
• stochastic modelling