Some asymptotic properties of SEIRS models with nonlinear incidence and random delays

Abstract

This paper presents the dynamics of mosquitoes and humans with general nonlinear incidence rate and multiple distributed delays for the disease. The model is a SEIRS system of delay differential equations. The normalized dimensionless version is derived; analytical techniques are applied to find conditions for deterministic extinction and permanence of disease. The BRN R0* and ESPR E(e–(μvT1+μT2)) are computed. Conditions for deterministic extinction and permanence are expressed in terms of R0* and E(e–(μvT1+μT2)) and applied to a P. vivax malaria scenario. Numerical results are given.

Keywords

• endemic equilibrium
• basic reproduction number
• permanence in the mean
• Lyapunov functionals techniques
• extinction rate