Risks of demographic development in a pandemic

Abstract

In the article, the authors consider various theories of "risk" in the context of the formation of a new reality, which is characterized by different criteria and degrees of uncertainty. Researchers analyze the works of W. Beck, E. Giddens, M. Douglas, N. Taleb, F. Hoffman and others. The article provides a deep analysis of the risks of Russia's demographic development in the context of a global pandemic. Based on the results of their own research, based on the data of a set of methods for collecting and analyzing information, the authors of the article come to the following conclusions. The first and then the second wave of depopulation makes the demographic determination of the development of the Russian state a priority, which requires a revision of the paradigm of the economic perspective. Under these conditions, the risk of a decline in the global population will increase many times over. Against the background of the development of negative global and domestic demographic processes and the formation of apocalyptic views on the future, the "pandemic" damage to the population can become only an insignificant contribution to this trend. It is necessary to monitor not only possible risks, but also the reaction of the population to the preventive measures proposed by the state, combating the pandemic, as well as socio-economic support of citizens and entrepreneurs in the difficult conditions of the spread of COVID-19.

Keywords

• pandemic
• risk
• risk society
• demography
• state
• public opinion
• trust