Forecasting the development of social infrastructure agriculture of the Chuvash republic

Abstract

The article discusses the development of the social infrastructure of agriculture in the Chuvash Republic for the period from 2009 to 2018. Agriculture occupies a special position in the region’s economy and is a backbone industry. Its share in the gross regional product is 9%, which is noticeably higher than in other regions of the country, and the share of residents living in rural areas is 36.6%. With the help of the Excel program, a forecast of the development of rural social infrastructure for the most important indicators for 2019–2022 is presented. according to three scenarios: optimistic, probabilistic and pessimistic. As studies have shown, a pessimistic scenario is more likely to be implemented, which requires immediate corrective measures to effectively manage the industry, in particular, by creating a single “Chuvash Center for the Development of Rural Areas”.