Retrieval of Subsurface Velocities in the Southern Ocean from Satellite Observations

Abstract

Determining the dynamic processes of the subsurface ocean is a critical yet formidable undertaking given the sparse measurement resources available presently. In this study, using the light gradient boosting machine algorithm (LightGBM), we report for the first time a machine learning strategy for retrieving subsurface velocities at 1000 dbar depth in the Southern Ocean from information derived from satellite observations. Argo velocity measurements are used in the training and validation of the LightGBM model. The results show that reconstructed subsurface velocity agrees better with Argo velocity than reanalysis datasets. In particular, the subsurface velocity estimates have a correlation coefficient of 0.78 and an RMSE of 4.09 cm/s, which is much better than the ECCO estimates, GODAS estimates, GLORYS12V1 estimates, and Ora-S5 estimates. The LightGBM model has a higher skill in the reconstruction of subsurface velocity than the random forest and the linear regressor models. The estimated subsurface velocity exhibits a statistically significant increase at 1000 dbar since the 1990s, providing new evidence for the deep acceleration of mean circulation in the Southern Ocean. This study demonstrates the great potential and advantages of statistical methods for subsurface velocity modeling and oceanic dynamical information retrieval.

Keywords

• subsurface velocity
• light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM)
• The Southern Ocean
• satellite observations
• long-term variability