Soluble ST2 and All-Cause Mortality in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease—A 10-Year Cohort Study

Abstract

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is an inflammatory condition with constantly increasing mortality rates. Interleukin (IL)-33 and its decoy receptor, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2), play a central role in the inflammatory response during infection. sST2 was suggested as a factor in the pathogenesis of COPD and emerged as a predictor of mortality in other non-communicable diseases. The role of sST2 as a predictor of mortality remains unclear in COPD yet. In this cohort study, we measured circulating concentrations of IL-33 and sST2 in the serum of patients with stable COPD (n = 59), patients with acute exacerbation of COPD (n = 29) and smoking (n = 20) and non-smoking controls (n = 20), using commercially available ELISAs, and investigated the prognostic role of sST2 in stable COPD. sST2 levels were significantly higher in COPD patients and smokers compared with non-smoking controls. We identified systolic blood pressure, forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1% predicted), neutrophil count, lactate dehydrogenase and pack-years index as independent predictors of sST2 levels. During a median follow-up time of 10.6 years, 28 patients (47.5%) died. sST2 was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with COPD with a hazard ratio of 2.9 (95% CI 1.1–8.4, p = 0.035) per one standard deviation after adjustment for age, sex, pack-years, FEV1% predicted and C-reactive protein (CRP). sST2 concentrations are associated with severity of disease and long-term outcome in patients with COPD.

Keywords

• chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
• inflammation
• prognosis
• biomarker
• sST2