Nature Communications (Mar 2019)
State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes
- Jacob Schewe,
- Simon N. Gosling,
- Christopher Reyer,
- Fang Zhao,
- Philippe Ciais,
- Joshua Elliott,
- Louis Francois,
- Veronika Huber,
- Heike K. Lotze,
- Sonia I. Seneviratne,
- Michelle T. H. van Vliet,
- Robert Vautard,
- Yoshihide Wada,
- Lutz Breuer,
- Matthias Büchner,
- David A. Carozza,
- Jinfeng Chang,
- Marta Coll,
- Delphine Deryng,
- Allard de Wit,
- Tyler D. Eddy,
- Christian Folberth,
- Katja Frieler,
- Andrew D. Friend,
- Dieter Gerten,
- Lukas Gudmundsson,
- Naota Hanasaki,
- Akihiko Ito,
- Nikolay Khabarov,
- Hyungjun Kim,
- Peter Lawrence,
- Catherine Morfopoulos,
- Christoph Müller,
- Hannes Müller Schmied,
- René Orth,
- Sebastian Ostberg,
- Yadu Pokhrel,
- Thomas A. M. Pugh,
- Gen Sakurai,
- Yusuke Satoh,
- Erwin Schmid,
- Tobias Stacke,
- Jeroen Steenbeek,
- Jörg Steinkamp,
- Qiuhong Tang,
- Hanqin Tian,
- Derek P. Tittensor,
- Jan Volkholz,
- Xuhui Wang,
- Lila Warszawski
Affiliations
- Jacob Schewe
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association
- Simon N. Gosling
- School of Geography, University of Nottingham
- Christopher Reyer
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association
- Fang Zhao
- School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University
- Philippe Ciais
- Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ
- Joshua Elliott
- University of Chicago and ANL Computation Institute, 5735S. Ellis Ave
- Louis Francois
- Institut d’Astrophysique et de Géophysique/U.R. SPHERES, Université de Liège
- Veronika Huber
- Department of Physical, Chemical and Natural Systems, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Ctra. de Utrera 1
- Heike K. Lotze
- Department of Biology, Dalhousie University
- Sonia I. Seneviratne
- ETH Zurich, Land-Climate Dynamics, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science
- Michelle T. H. van Vliet
- Water Systems and Global Change group, Wageningen University
- Robert Vautard
- Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ
- Yoshihide Wada
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
- Lutz Breuer
- Institute for Landscape Ecology and Resources Management (ILR), Research Centre for BioSystems, Land Use and Nutrition (iFZ), Justus Liebig University Giessen
- Matthias Büchner
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association
- David A. Carozza
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, McGill University
- Jinfeng Chang
- Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ
- Marta Coll
- Institute of Marine Sciences (ICM - CSIC)
- Delphine Deryng
- Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF)
- Allard de Wit
- Wageningen Environmental Research
- Tyler D. Eddy
- Department of Biology, Dalhousie University
- Christian Folberth
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
- Katja Frieler
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association
- Andrew D. Friend
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge
- Dieter Gerten
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association
- Lukas Gudmundsson
- ETH Zurich, Land-Climate Dynamics, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science
- Naota Hanasaki
- National Institute for Environmental Studies
- Akihiko Ito
- National Institute for Environmental Studies
- Nikolay Khabarov
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
- Hyungjun Kim
- Institute of Industrial Science, the University of Tokyo
- Peter Lawrence
- Terrestrial Science Section, National Center for Atmospheric Research
- Catherine Morfopoulos
- Imperial College of London, Department of Life Science
- Christoph Müller
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association
- Hannes Müller Schmied
- Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe-University Frankfurt
- René Orth
- Department of Physical Geography, Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University
- Sebastian Ostberg
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association
- Yadu Pokhrel
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan State University
- Thomas A. M. Pugh
- School of Geography, Earth & Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham
- Gen Sakurai
- Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization
- Yusuke Satoh
- Water Systems and Global Change group, Wageningen University
- Erwin Schmid
- University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna
- Tobias Stacke
- Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
- Jeroen Steenbeek
- Ecopath International Initiative
- Jörg Steinkamp
- Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F)
- Qiuhong Tang
- Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences
- Hanqin Tian
- School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences, Auburn University
- Derek P. Tittensor
- Department of Biology, Dalhousie University
- Jan Volkholz
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association
- Xuhui Wang
- Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ
- Lila Warszawski
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08745-6
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 10,
no. 1
pp. 1 – 14
Abstract
Impact models projections are used in integrated assessments of climate change. Here the authors test systematically across many important systems, how well such impact models capture the impacts of extreme climate conditions.
