Non-Probabilistic Reliability Analysis of Slopes Based on a Multidimensional Parallelepiped Model

Abstract

Aiming at the problem that the non-probabilistic reliability analysis method of slope engineering, which is based on an interval model, cannot consider the cross-correlation of geotechnical parameters, a non-probabilistic reliability analysis method of slopes based on a multidimensional parallelepiped model is proposed. This method can effectively alleviate the problem of difficult data survey in the field of geotechnical engineering. Using the limited sample data of soil parameters, the multidimensional parallelepiped model is constructed. The performance function of the slope is constructed based on Latin hypercube sampling and the quadratic response surface method. Then, the limit state equation of the slope can be standardized using the multidimensional parallelepiped model. The non-probabilistic reliability indexes of the slope are calculated based on the global optimal solution to judge the stability state of the slope. The example analysis verifies the feasibility of the proposed method. The results show that the correlation of shear strength parameters of soil has a great influence on the non-probabilistic reliability indexes of the slope. When the correlation coefficients of the shear strength parameters are between −1.0 and 0, the smaller the correlation coefficient is, the greater the non-probabilistic reliability index of the slope is; when the correlation coefficients of the shear strength parameters are between 0 and 1.0, the non-probabilistic reliability index of the slope does not change with the correlation coefficient. The non-probabilistic reliability indexes of the slope obtained using the multidimensional parallelepiped model are between the results obtained using an ellipsoid model and those obtained using an interval model, which are validated by Monte Carlo method and relatively more reasonable. In the absence of a large number of geotechnical sample data, this method provides a new way for slope stability analysis and expands the application field of calculation methods based on non-probabilistic theory.

Keywords

• slope
• stability analysis
• non-probabilistic reliability
• multidimensional parallelepiped model
• correlation