Probabilistic approach in the heavy rainfall modelling – is model verification needed?

Wdowikowski Marcin; Kaźmierczak Bartosz; Wartalska Katarzyna

doi:10.1051/itmconf/20182300036

ITM Web of Conferences (Jan 2018)

Probabilistic approach in the heavy rainfall modelling – is model verification needed?

Wdowikowski Marcin,
Kaźmierczak Bartosz,
Wartalska Katarzyna

Affiliations

Wdowikowski Marcin: Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute
Kaźmierczak Bartosz: Wrocław University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Environmental Engineering
Wartalska Katarzyna: Wrocław University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Environmental Engineering

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/itmconf/20182300036
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 23
p. 00036

Abstract

Read online

The aim of this paper is an attempt to answer the question whether it is necessary to update the probabilistic model of heavy rainfall with the passage of time. Based on IMWM-NRI measurement data in Wroclaw, probabilistic models for data from 1960–2009 with data up to 2017 were compared. The analysis showed that intense rainfall recorded in recent years can significantly affect the course of the depth-duration-frequency (DDF) model.

Published in ITM Web of Conferences

ISSN: 2271-2097 (Online)
Publisher: EDP Sciences
Country of publisher: France
LCC subjects: Technology: Technology (General): Industrial engineering. Management engineering: Information technology
Website: http://www.itm-conferences.org/

About the journal