E3S Web of Conferences (Jan 2016)

Calculation of seismic regime parameters on the basis of a probabilistic model of Kamchatka earthquake catalogue

  • Bogdanov Vadim,
  • Pavlov Aleksey

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20161100002
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 11
p. 00002

Abstract

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In the present paper on the basis of a probabilistic interpretation of the earthquake repetition law, simple formulas were obtained which allow us from the known number of earthquake events in a representative interval of energy class (magnitude) to estimate the number of seismic events falling within an unrepresentative interval and the expected time of an earthquake with a magnitude exceeding the maximum registered values for the period of instrumental observations.