Management of ecological projects under the impact of anthropogenic factors of danger formation

Abstract

The mechanism of monitoring the formation of ecological danger under the impact of anthropogenic factors is proposed. The scientific works devoted to the ways and methods of decreasing the level of natural-technogenic load on the environment and its separate components are analyzed. The ranges of ecological danger functioning in the social and economic zone are established: background danger, danger of insignificant level, acceptable danger, unacceptable danger, catastrophic danger. The types of stability state of the socio-economic zone (SEZ) under the conditions of equilibrium, homeostasis and stationary regime are considered. The deformation model of the ecological safety state under the influence of physical and other anthropogenic factors is developed. The model is based on the solution of three separate problems: analyzing the functioning of ecological danger in the presence of a set of its components of various genesis; improving the state of ecological safety in terms of the complex impact of its sources; forming the elements of ecological safety in natural and anthropogenic reservoirs. It includes a system of four analytical dependences (describing the possibility of transition of the socio-economic zone from one to another stationary state according to the characteristics and level of anthropogenic factors; characterizing the pollution state of the aquatic component of the ecosystem depending on the pollution source capacity and specifics of bifurcation; describing the changes in time of ecological risk of the physical factors impact; determining the combined condition of variational solution of separate problems concerning the quality of the ecological projects management system) and boundary conditions of its existence. The findings show that using the deformation model of the ecological safety state under the influence of physical and other anthropogenic factors makes it possible to develop and implement sound solutions for the management of environmental projects

Keywords

• ecological safety
• ecological projects
• physical factors
• mathematical model
• technogenic earthquakes
• danger formation
• socio-economic zone
• monitoring