Risk predictors of advanced hepatic fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease – a survey in a university hospital in Brazil

Abstract

ABSTRACT Objective: Describe the clinical profile of patients with biopsy-proven non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and analyze the risk predictors of hepatic fibrosis in outpatient follow-up at a university hospital. Subjects and methods: Demographic, clinical and laboratory data of a cohort of 143 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were retrospectively analysed under univariate analyses. Diagnostic accuracy, determined by AUROC, was evaluated for variables that showed a significant difference in univariate comparison analysis and diagnostic performances were determined by sensitivity and specificity. Results: The mean age of studied patients were 48 years, 66.4% of them were women. Age, presence of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, metabolic syndrome and laboratory variables such as AST/ALT ratio, GGT, platelet count and fasting glucose were significantly associated with advanced fibrosis. FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score (AUROC 0.82 and 0.89, respectively) outperformed APRI (AUROC 0.73) for advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis (P of 0.04). Conclusion: In our study, metabolic syndrome, diabetes, hypertension, AST/ALT ratio, GGT, platelet count and fasting glucose were associated with hepatic fibrosis in patients with NAFLD. The non-invasive tests FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score showed the best accuracy to stratify disease severity.

Keywords

• Fatty liver disease
• liver fibrosis
• metabolic syndrome