Development of urbanized areas in Ukraine and the world for the period 1950–2035

Abstract

In all countries of the world, regardless of their level of development, urbanization processes are inevitable. The challenges of urbanization cause the determination of the tasks before the public administration system to ensure effective management and scientifically based policy. Definition of tasks will make it possible to use the advantages of urbanization, minimize risks and use appropriate tools to ensure effective public management in ensuring sustainable development of urban areas, establishment and strengthening of ecological, economic, social, and humanitarian ties between urban and rural areas as an element of ensuring national security. The article establishes that today there is no single approach to defining «urban» territory in the world, because each country is based on its own approach to the classification of urban and rural areas. In the process of research, the national approaches of the countries regarding the classification of the territory and the criteria for the division of territories into urban and rural areas were studied. Regarding the assessment of the dynamics of the development of urban areas, the population of the world's largest agglomerations for the period 1950–2035 and the dynamics of population changes in the largest agglomerations of Ukraine for the period 1950–2035 were analyzed, as well as indicators of the dynamics of the development of agglomerations in the world, Europe, and Eastern Europe and in Ukraine for the period 1950–2035. The conducted analysis makes it possible to determine the following trends: 1) urbanized areas and agglomerations on a global scale will increase, and their number will increase; 2) comparing the indicators of 1950 and those predicted for 2035, it is important to state that the largest agglomerations of the world will not be located in Europe, but mostly in Asian countries – India, China, Japan, Bangladesh, Indonesia; 3) Eastern European countries are characterized by the tendency of small agglomerations, in particular, the size of which is from 1 to 5 million inhabitants, a similar trend is observed in Ukraine; 4) in Ukraine, it is expected that most of the urban population, in particular 60 %, will live in agglomerations of up to 300,000 inhabitants.

Keywords

• state policy
• urbanization
• urbanized areas
• agglomeration