Nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens

James O. Lloyd-Smith; Sebastian Funk; Angela R. McLean; Steven Riley; James L.N. Wood

doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2014.09.002

Epidemics (Mar 2015)

Nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens

James O. Lloyd-Smith,
Sebastian Funk,
Angela R. McLean,
Steven Riley,
James L.N. Wood

Affiliations

James O. Lloyd-Smith: Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Sebastian Funk: Center for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
Angela R. McLean: Department of Zoology, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Steven Riley: Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
James L.N. Wood: Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2014.09.002
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 10, no. C
pp. 35 – 39

Abstract

Read online

Studying the emergence of novel infectious agents involves many processes spanning host species, spatial scales, and scientific disciplines. Mathematical models play an essential role in combining insights from these investigations and drawing robust inferences from field and experimental data. We describe nine challenges in modelling the emergence of novel pathogens, emphasizing the interface between models and data.

Published in Epidemics

ISSN: 1755-4365 (Print); 1878-0067 (Online)
Publisher: Elsevier
Country of publisher: Netherlands
LCC subjects: Medicine: Internal medicine: Infectious and parasitic diseases
Website: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/epidemics/

About the journal

Abstract

Keywords