Development and Validation of a Three-Gene-Based Prognostic Model for Predicting the Overall Survival of Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma Through Bioinformatics Analysis

Abstract

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Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is one of the most common cancer worldwide and seriously threats public health safety. Despite the improvement of diagnostic and treatment methods, the overall survival for advanced patients has not improved yet. This study aimed to sort out prognosis-related molecular biomarkers for HNSCC and establish a prognostic model to stratify the risk hazards and predicate the prognosis for these patients, providing a theoretical basis for the formulation of individual treatment plans. We firstly identified differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between HNSCC tissues and normal tissues via joint analysis based on GEO databases. Then a total of 11 hub genes were selected for single-gene prognostic analysis to identify the prognostic genes. Later, the clinical information and transcription information of HNSCC were downloaded from the TCGA database. With the application of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm analyses for the prognostic genes on the TCGA cohort, a prognostic model consisting of three genes (COL4A1, PLAU and ITGA5) was successfully established and the survival analyses showed that the prognostic model possessed a robust performance in the overall survival prediction. Afterward, the univariate and multivariate regression analysis indicated that the prognostic model could be an independent prognostic factor. Finally, the predicative efficiency of this model was well confirmed in an independent external HNSCC cohort.

Keywords

• head and neck squamous cell carcinoma
• prognostic model
• survival analysis
• cox regression
• lasso algorithm