Bayesian Monte Carlo Inversion of InSAR Time Series Deformation Induced by Wastewater Injection: A Case Study in West Texas

Abstract

Abstract Wastewater disposal can induce detectable surface uplift, which may cause ground instability and threaten infrastructure. The distributions of local hydro‐geomechanical parameters, especially Young's modulus and hydraulic conductivity, play an essential role in these geohazards. To constrain these parameters, we have inverted spatio‐temporal deformation measured by Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and injection information using a Bayesian Monte Carlo approach with a poroelastic finite element model. Sentinel‐1A/B imagery from 2014 to 2020 is processed to track the spatio‐temporal deformation in Winkler county, West Texas, USA. The posterior distribution of subsurface effective volumes reveals under‐reported volumes in the well near the deformation center. In addition, the inversion results provide better constraints for the parameters than those solely obtained based on the cumulative spatial deformation or temporal development of the deformation center.