Abstract Background Lymph node (LN) metastasis is an established prognostic factor for patients with surgically resected ampulla of Vater (AoV) cancer. The standard procedure for radical resection, including removal of regional LNs, is pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD); however, local excision has been considered as an alternative option for patients in the early stage cancer with significant comorbidities. In the present study, we elucidated the preoperative factors associated with LN metastasis to determine the appropriate surgical extent for T1 AoV cancer. Methods We included patients who underwent surgery for T1 AoV cancer at Samsung Medical Center and Severance Hospital between 2000 and 2019. Risk factors were analyzed to identify the preoperative parameters associated with LN metastasis or regional LN recurrence during follow-up. Finally, using the identified risk factors, a prediction model was constructed. Results Among 342 patients, 311 patients underwent PD, whereas 31 patients underwent transduodenal ampullectomy. Fourty-eight patients had LN metastasis according to pathology report, and two patients presented with regional LN recurrence. Age, carbohydrate antigen 19 − 9 (CA 19 − 9), and tumor differentiation were identified as factors associated with the increased risk of LN metastasis or regional LN recurrence. The area under the curve of the prediction model with these three factors was 0.728. Conclusion Our newly developed prediction model using age, CA 19 − 9, and tumor differentiation can help select patients who require PD over local excision. Nevertheless, additional in-depth analysis is warranted to select appropriate surgical extent for patients with presumed T1 AoV cancer.
