Financial stress index, growth and price stability in India: Some recent evidence

Abstract

This paper examine aggregate financial stress index for India is constructed by taking monthly data from different segments of the financial market like money market, bond market, equity market, foreign exchange market, and the banking sector, for the period March 2007 to December 2016. The interrelationship and feedback effect between financial stress, economic growth and price stability are tested by using correlation and an unrestricted VAR model. The impulse response function of the VAR model shows that financial stress leads to decline in growth after a lag period and higher growth rate for a longer period of time increases stress in the financial system. The variance decomposition result shows that the contribution of FSI to the variation of other variables are not much high but other variables can contribute to the variation in FSI to some extent.

Keywords

• financial stress
• economic growth
• price stability
• var