Emerging Infectious Diseases (Dec 2009)

Estimates of the Prevalence of Pandemic (H1N1) 2009, United States, April–July 2009

  • Carrie Reed,
  • Frederick J. Angulo,
  • David L. Swerdlow,
  • Marc Lipsitch,
  • Martin I. Meltzer,
  • Daniel B. Jernigan,
  • Lyn Finelli

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3201/eid1512.091413
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 15, no. 12
pp. 2004 – 2007

Abstract

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Through July 2009, a total of 43,677 laboratory-confirmed cases of influenza A pandemic (H1N1) 2009 were reported in the United States, which is likely a substantial underestimate of the true number. Correcting for under-ascertainment using a multiplier model, we estimate that 1.8 million–5.7 million cases occurred, including 9,000–21,000 hospitalizations.

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