Estimation of Probabilistic Environmental Risk of Heavy Metal(loid)s in Resuspended Megacity Street Dust with Monte Carlo Simulation

Abstract

To improve the ecological environment quality of industrial cities and protect the health of residents, we determined the priority control factors of heavy metal(loid)s (HMs) pollution and risk in the resuspended street dust (RSD) of Shijiazhuang, an emblematic heavy-industrial city in North China, according to the probabilistic risk assessment method. The results showed that the HMs studied in Shijiazhuang RSD exhibited different pollution levels, that is, Hg showed moderate-to-severe pollution and above; Zn showed moderate-and-above pollution; Co, Cu and Pb showed non-pollution to moderate pollution; while As, Cr, Mn and Ni showed no pollution. The overall contamination of HMs in the RSD presented moderate-to-above contamination levels in >94% of samples. Mercury exhibited considerable-to-very-high ecological risk. The synthetic ecological risks of the HMs were considerable-to-above. The comprehensive pollution and synthetic ecological risk of HMs in Shijiazhuang RSD were mainly caused by Hg. The carcinogenic risk of HMs in RSD to local inhabitants and their non-carcinogenic risk to children should not be ignored. Coal-related industrial sources are a priority source to control. Hg and As are priority HMs to control. We suggest that local governments should strengthen the management of coal-related industrial sources and As and Hg emissions.

Keywords

• heavy metal(loid)s
• Monte Carlo simulation
• contamination assessment
• ecological health risk
• resuspended street dust