Risk assessment of electricity price regulation for power grid enterprises based on system dynamics model

Abstract

The new round of power system reform has strengthened the supervision of transmission and distribution links, and changed the profit model of power grid enterprises by verifying the transmission and distribution price. In this context, the research on the regulatory risk faced by power grid enterprises under the electricity price regulatory policy can provide tools and decision support for power grid enterprises to accurately grasp the regulatory risk and reduce the risk loss. Firstly, combined with the transmission and distribution price supervision process faced by power grid enterprises, the possible risks faced by power grid enterprises in price supervision are analyzed. Secondly, the quantitative measurement model of electricity price regulation of power grid enterprises is constructed by using system dynamics, and the effectiveness of the model is verified. Finally, the future regulatory period is simulated and the results are analyzed, and policy recommendations are put forward.