THE CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF NATIONAL RESILIENCE ASSESSMENT DUE TO THE IMPACT OF COASTAL RECLAMATION WITH SYSTEM DYNAMIC METHODS

Abstract

In the context of regional development, coastal reclamation is expected to increase the overall carrying capacity and environmental carrying capacity of the area. However, along the way, the reclamation project did not always succeed as expected. Several cases of coastal reclamation, such as the reclamation of the north coast of Jakarta and Benoa Bali, have raised pros and cons and have had a significant impact on the lives of local communities, especially on environmental, economic, and socio-cultural aspects. This is very influential on the condition of the National Resilience of the Indonesian nation, especially the area. This study aims to analyze thoroughly the impact of coastal reclamation on National Resilience. Activities start from a comprehensive understanding of the system that occurs in the reclamation process and variables that affect national resilience. Based on preliminary observations and critical studies of previous research, the trend that occurs in significant aspects is the environmental, economic, and socio-cultural aspects. Each aspect is analyzed its role in the National Resilience system as a result of Reclamation. Identification of aspects in detail is needed to obtain variables and criteria that have a significant effect on National Resilience. Refinement is carried out on the assessment of Environmental, Economic, and Socio-cultural variables as an interacting system. Each variable is defined and assessed its role in the system of causal interactions (causal loop). The concept of system unity and variable idiosyncrasies is highlighted. The result of the research is a Conceptual Model of National Resilience Assessment as the Impact of Beach Reclamation with a Dynamic System Model. This model is expected to be able to conduct an assessment of the National Resilience of an area as a result of the systemic interaction process that occurs in environmental, economic, and socio-cultural aspects that affect the reclamation process. The reliability of the research result model is proven by the quantitative and qualitative validation and verification of the National Resilience value from the expert's assessment.

Keywords

• conceptual model
• national resilience assessment
• impact of coastal reclamation