Prognostic significance of the Naples prognostic score in colorectal cancer patients undergoing curative resection: a propensity score matching analysis

Abstract

Abstract Background Systemic inflammation is recognized as a hallmark of cancer that contributes to tumor development and progression in various malignancies. The Naples prognostic score (NPS) was established as a prognostic indicator for colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aims to examine the predictive value of the NPS for survival in CRC patients undergoing curative resection by a propensity score matching (PSM) analysis. Methods A total of 533 CRC patients were enrolled in this study. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared between high-NPS and low-NPS groups. A time-dependent receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to calculate the area under curve (AUC) of the NPS for OS. A multivariable Cox-proportional hazards regression analysis and PSM analysis were used to identify independent prognostic factors for OS and DFS. We compared the predictive value of the NPS to that of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), Onodera prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and controlling nutritional status score (CONUT) for OS. Results High-NPS was significantly associated with worse OS and DFS. After PSM, 123 patients were included in each group. A multivariate analysis revealed that Age ≥ 68, ASA-PS ≥ 3, high NPS and undifferentiated tumor type were independently associated with OS, while high NPS, advanced T and N stage were independently associated with DFS after PSM. The NPS had the greatest AUC for OS in comparison to the NLR, LMR, PNI and CONUT. Conclusions We successfully validated the prognostic utility of the NPS for CRC patients after curative resection.

Keywords

• Naples prognostic score
• Systemic inflammation
• Colorectal cancer
• Prognosis
• Overall survival