Shorter antibiotic regimens impact the control efforts in high tuberculosis burden regions of Taiwan

Abstract

Objectives: To assess the potential epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of shorter antibiotic regimens in high tuberculosis (TB) burden regions of Taiwan. Methods: This study combined the TB population dynamic model and cost-effectiveness analysis with local data to simulate the disease burdens, effectiveness and costs of hypothetical 4-month, 2-month and 7-day regimens compared with the standard regimen. Results: The main outcomes were the potential of shorter regimens for averted incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio and net monetary benefit. Shorter regimens would lower incidence rates and mortality cases in a high TB burden region by an average of 19–33% and 27–41%, respectively, with the potential for cost-effectiveness or cost-saving. The 2-month and 7-day regimens would be more cost-effective than the 4-month regimen. The threshold daily drug prices for achieving cost-effectiveness and cost-saving for 4-month, 2-month and 7-day regimens were $US1, $US2 and $US70, respectively. Such cost-effectiveness would remain, even if the willingness-to-pay threshold was less than one gross domestic product per capita. Conclusions: The findings support the inclusion of shorter regimens in global guidelines and regional-scale TB control strategies, which would improve disease control, particularly in settings with high rates of incidence and poor treatment outcomes.

Keywords

• Tuberculosis
• Economic evaluation
• Population dynamic model
• Antibiotic treatment
• Shorter regimens