Simulation model for predicting ecological condition of urban areas at traffic intersections

Abstract

This article substantiates the relevance of the development and use of digital tools that allow modeling objects and processes of transport systems to determine the environmental consequences of changes in their quantities and states. The use of methods of structural analysis, systematization, observation, statistical analysis of data allowed to establish all key objects of the system and their qualitative and quantitative indicators necessary to create a digital twin. The use of simulation modeling methods allowed to formalize the obtained results into models involved in the digital twin of the transport system. Using the graphical method, state diagrams were developed to demonstrate the transition of states of each object of the process depending on changes in environmental conditions. On the basis of the statistical analysis of pollutant emissions in the study area, a parametric model was developed for each pollutant factor.