Identification of expected seismic activity areas by forecasting complex seismic-mode parameters in Uzbekistan

Abstract

In this paper, the author proposed a methodology to reveal expected seismic activation places for coming years by a complex of forecasting parameters of a seismic mode. Areas in Uzbekistan where currently observed anomalies in various parameters of a seismic mode has been revealed. By number of displayed abnormal signs the areas has been ranked based on probability of occurrence of strong earthquakes there. It has prepared schemes of the synoptic forecast of expected seismic activation places in case of occurrence of strong earthquakes in the Central-Asian region. Keywords: Long-term forecast of earthquakes, Parameters of seismic mode, Seismic activity, Seismic gap