Interleukin-1 antagonism is a proposed biomarker and potential therapy for the delay and/or treatment of type 1 diabetes (T1D). We evaluated the role of circulating interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1ra) in a prospectively monitored cohort of T1D patients. In order to determine a mechanistic association between IL-1ra and T1D, we performed co-localization analyses between serum IL-1ra protein quantitative trait loci and T1D genome-wide analysis studies. Adjusting for human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genotypes, first degree relative status, gender, and age, serum levels of IL-1ra were lower in subjects who progressed to T1D compared to the controls (p = 0.023). Our results suggest that females have higher levels of IL-1ra compared to males (p = 0.005). The 2q14.1 region associated with serum IL-1ra levels is not associated with a risk of developing T1D. Our data suggest that IL-1 antagonism by IL-1ra is not an effective therapy in T1D, but IL-1ra may be a biomarker for progression to T1D.
