Economia Aplicada (Jun 2016)

Cost of economic fluctuations after the Plano Real

  • Fernando Antônio de Barros Júnior,
  • Valdemar Rodrigues de Pinho Neto

DOI
https://doi.org/10.11606/1413-8050/ea135252
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 20, no. 2

Abstract

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In this paper,we calculated the cost of economic fluctuations in Brazil. Using quarterly data from real per capita consumption between the beginning of Plano Real and the third quarter of 2013,we computed the cost of economic fluctuations enabling different parametric forms for the stochastic process of the consumption series. We estimated a cost of economic fluctuations in Brazil in approximately 6,48% of the per capita consumption using the most suitable specification for consumption stochastic process

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