Dynamic Hazard Assessment of Rainfall-Induced Landslides Using Gradient Boosting Decision Tree with Google Earth Engine in Three Gorges Reservoir Area, China

Abstract

Rainfall-induced landslides are a major hazard in the Three Gorges Reservoir area (TGRA) of China, encompassing 19 districts and counties with extensive coverage and significant spatial variation in terrain. This study introduces the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) model, implemented on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud platform, to dynamically assess landslide risks within the TGRA. Utilizing the GBDT model for landslide susceptibility analysis, the results show high accuracy with a prediction precision of 86.2% and a recall rate of 95.7%. Furthermore, leveraging GEE’s powerful computational capabilities and real-time updated rainfall data, we dynamically mapped landslide hazards across the TGRA. The integration of the GBDT with GEE enabled near-real-time processing of remote sensing and meteorological radar data from the significant “8–31” 2014 rainstorm event, achieving dynamic and accurate hazard assessments. This study provides a scalable solution applicable globally to similar regions, making a significant contribution to the field of geohazard analysis by improving real-time landslide hazard assessment and mitigation strategies.

Keywords

• Three Gorges Reservoir area
• rainfall-induced landslide
• Google Earth Engine
• GBDT
• dynamic hazard assessment