Evaluating the risk of developing hyperuricemia in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and machine learning algorithm

Abstract

Background Hyperuricemia is a common complication of type 2 diabetes mellitus and can lead to serious consequences such as gout and kidney disease. Methods Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus from six different communities in Fuzhou were recruited from June to December 2022. Questionnaires, physical examinations, and laboratory tests were conducted to collect data on various variables. Variable screening steps were performed using univariate and multivariate stepwise regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, and Boruta feature selection. The dataset was divided into a training-testing set (80%) and an independent validation set (20%). Six machine learning models were built and validated. Results A total of 8243 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus were included in this study. According to Occam's razor method, the LASSO regression algorithm was determined to be the optimal risk factors selection method, and nine variables were identified as parameters for the risk assessment model. The absence of diabetes medication and elevated fasting blood glucose levels exhibited a negative correlation with the risk of hyperuricemia. Conversely, seven other variables demonstrated a positive association with the risk of hyperuricemia among patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Among the six machine learning models, the artificial neural network (ANN) model demonstrated the highest performance. It achieved an areas under curve of 0.736, accuracy of 68.3%, sensitivity of 65.0%, specificity of 72.2%, precision of 73.6% and F1-score of 69.0%. Conclusions We developed an ANN model to better evaluate the risk of hyperuricemia in the type 2 diabetes population. In the type 2 diabetes population, women should pay particular attention to their uric acid levels, and type 2 diabetics should not neglect their obesity level, blood pressure, kidney function and lipid profile during their regular medical check-ups, in order to do their best to avoid the risks associated with the combination of type 2 diabetes and hyperuricemia.