Mortality and readmission risk for hospitalised patients with acute exacerbation of COPD with and without spirometric obstruction: a longitudinal observational study in China

Abstract

Objective To compare the clinical features and outcomes in patients with pre-chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and COPD hospitalised for confirmed or suspected acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD).Design A multicentre, longitudinal observational cohort study.Setting Data were obtained from the AECOPD Inpatient Registry Study in China.Participants 5896 patients hospitalised for AECOPD between 2017 and 2021.Outcomes Patients were divided into the COPD (n=5201) and pre-COPD (n=695) groups according to the lung function test results. The outcomes of interest included all-cause, respiratory disease-related and cardiovascular disease-related deaths as well as readmissions within 30 days and 12 months after discharge. Cumulative incidence functions were used to estimate the risk of cause-specific mortality and readmission. Multivariate hazard function models were used to determine the association between lung function and outcomes.Results There were significant between-group differences in the symptoms at admission and medication use during hospitalisation. However, there was no significant between-group difference in the 30-day all-cause mortality (0.00 vs 2.23/1000 person-month (pm), p=0.6110) and readmission (33.52 vs 30.64/1000 pm, p=0.7175). Likewise, the 30-day and 12-month cause-specific outcomes were not significantly different between groups (30-day readmission with acute exacerbation (AE): 26.07 vs 25.11/1000 pm; 12-month all-cause mortality: 0.20 vs 0.93/1000 pm; all-cause readmission: 11.49 vs 13.75/1000 pm; readmission with AE: 9.15 vs 11.64/1000 pm, p>0.05 for all comparisons). Cumulative incidence curves revealed no significant between-group differences in the 30-day and 12-month prognosis (p>0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed no significant association of lung function categories with 30-day and 12-month mortality or readmission (p>0.05 for all effect estimations).Conclusions Patients with pre-COPD have mild symptoms and similar risks for mortality and readmission during follow-up as patients with COPD. Patients with pre-COPD should receive optimal therapies before the occurrence of irreversible damage.