An insight into the estimation of drilling fluid density at HPHT condition using PSO-, ICA-, and GA-LSSVM strategies

Abstract

Abstract The present study evaluates the drilling fluid density of oil fields at enhanced temperatures and pressures. The main objective of this work is to introduce a set of modeling and experimental techniques for forecasting the drilling fluid density via various intelligent models. Three models were assessed, including PSO-LSSVM, ICA-LSSVM, and GA-LSSVM. The PSO-LSSVM technique outperformed the other models in light of the smallest deviation factor, reflecting the responses of the largest accuracy. The experimental and modeled regression diagrams of the coefficient of determination (R2) were plotted. In the GA-LSSVM approach, R2 was calculated to be 0.998, 0.996 and 0.996 for the training, testing and validation datasets, respectively. R2 was obtained to be 0.999, 0.999 and 0.998 for the training, testing and validation datasets, respectively, in the ICA-LSSVM approach. Finally, it was found to be 0.999, 0.999 and 0.999 for the training, testing and validation datasets in the PSO-LSSVM method, respectively. In addition, a sensitivity analysis was performed to explore the impacts of several variables. It was observed that the initial density had the largest impact on the drilling fluid density, yielding a 0.98 relevancy factor.