Illuminating the Future: A Comprehensive Review of AI-Based Solar Irradiance Prediction Models

Abstract

Meeting the energy needs of a growing population is of paramount importance in today’s society. The use of renewable energy sources, especially solar energy, can help reduce greenhouse gas emissions from traditional sources. Solar irradiance, which depends on several factors such as the availability of sunlight, cloud cover index, latitude, orientation and tilt of solar panels, and technical factors, plays a crucial role in the use of solar energy. Predicting solar irradiance is therefore essential for enhancing the reliability and efficiency of solar energy systems. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being used to predict solar irradiance forecasting. These models can learn from historical weather data and identify complex patterns to predict future solar irradiance with high accuracy. Techniques such as regression, neural networks and ensemble methods are frequently used and enable more efficient planning and operation of solar energy systems. This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the existing state-of-the-art models for solar irradiance forecasting. The study evaluates a variety of forecasting models, including machine learning, numerical weather prediction and hybrid approaches for assessing their accuracy, strengths and weaknesses. As an outcome of this study, potential future improvements in the prediction of solar irradiance are highlighted and the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration and emerging technologies is emphasized. To ensure a sustainable and resilient energy future, it is crucial to continue efforts to better integrate solar energy into mainstream electricity systems. This work can serve as a fundamental analysis for future researchers to identify the most appropriate approaches for medium and long-term solar irradiance forecasts.

Keywords

• Artificial intelligence
• renewable energy
• solar irradiance
• machine learning
• forecasting