Frontiers in Oncology (May 2021)

A Novel Validated Recurrence Stratification System Based on 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics to Guide Surveillance After Resection of Pancreatic Cancer

  • Miaoyan Wei,
  • Miaoyan Wei,
  • Miaoyan Wei,
  • Miaoyan Wei,
  • Miaoyan Wei,
  • Bingxin Gu,
  • Bingxin Gu,
  • Bingxin Gu,
  • Shaoli Song,
  • Shaoli Song,
  • Shaoli Song,
  • Bo Zhang,
  • Bo Zhang,
  • Bo Zhang,
  • Bo Zhang,
  • Bo Zhang,
  • Wei Wang,
  • Wei Wang,
  • Wei Wang,
  • Wei Wang,
  • Wei Wang,
  • Jin Xu,
  • Jin Xu,
  • Jin Xu,
  • Jin Xu,
  • Jin Xu,
  • Xianjun Yu,
  • Xianjun Yu,
  • Xianjun Yu,
  • Xianjun Yu,
  • Xianjun Yu,
  • Si Shi,
  • Si Shi,
  • Si Shi,
  • Si Shi,
  • Si Shi

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3389/fonc.2021.650266
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 11

Abstract

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objectiveDespite the heterogeneous biology of pancreatic cancer, similar surveillance schemas have been used. Identifying the high recurrence risk population and conducting prompt intervention may improve prognosis and prolong overall survival.MethodsOne hundred fifty-six resectable pancreatic cancer patients who had undergone 18F-FDG PET/CT from January 2013 to December 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. The patients were categorized into a training cohort (n = 109) and a validation cohort (n = 47). LIFEx software was used to extract radiomic features from PET/CT. The risk stratification system was based on predictive factors for recurrence, and the index of prediction accuracy was used to reflect both the discrimination and calibration.ResultsOverall, seven risk factors comprising the rad-score and clinical variables that were significantly correlated with relapse were incorporated into the final risk stratification system. The 1-year recurrence-free survival differed significantly among the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups (85.5, 24.0, and 9.1%, respectively; p < 0.0001). The C-index of the risk stratification system in the development cohort was 0.890 (95% CI, 0.835–0.945).ConclusionThe 18F-FDG PET/CT-based radiomic features and clinicopathological factors demonstrated good performance in predicting recurrence after pancreatectomy in pancreatic cancer patients, providing a strong recommendation for an adequate adjuvant therapy course in all patients. The high-risk recurrence population should proceed with closer follow-up in a clinical setting.

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