Opportunities of statusmetriya in evaluation of 10-year risk atherosclerosis clinical manifestations development

Abstract

The information content of Framingham, SCORE model and, statusmetriya in the evaluation of the total ten-year cardiovascular risk in an isolated sample of 207 males without clinical manifestations of atherosclerosis was investigated. Detected that most of the observations from persons who had attained over a 10-year period of the combined end point, the models qualified incorrectly, which didn’t meet the requirements of individual risk assessment in a limited sample group of males. Statusmetrichesky algorithm, in contrast to the accepted system of risk stratification, significantly more of the entities attributed to high-risk and significantly less - to the low-risk category. Sensitivity of the model was 73,9%, specificity - 74,7%, the total information value - 74,5%.

Keywords

• atherosclerosis
• risk factors
• cardiovascular disease
• framingham model
• score model
• statusmetriya
• cardiovascular events
• the combined endpoint