ESTIMATED CRITICALITY LOWER-LIMIT MULTIPLICATION FACTOR OF LOW-ENRICHED URANIUM DIOXIDE-CONCRETE SYSTEM USING THE BOOTSTRAP METHOD

Abstract

The present paper aims to evaluate the estimated criticality lower-limit multiplication factor of fuel debris in a form of uranium dioxide-concrete mixture for a study of criticality control on the fuel debris generated through the molten core concrete interaction in a severe accident of a light water reactor. The estimated criticality lower-limit multiplication factor is evaluated using the bootstrap method where the assumption of the normal distribution is not necessary. In addition, it is calculated taking into account correlation coefficients that represent the degrees of neutronic similarity between the target system and benchmark critical experiment systems, experimental uncertainties of benchmark data, and statistical uncertainties of calculated effective multiplication factor by a continuous energy Monte Carlo code. This paper shows that the estimated criticality lower-limit multiplication factor using the bootstrap method can be comparable with a baseline upper-subcritical-limit which is evaluated by Whisper-1.1 without margins of subcriticality for uncertainties from nuclear covariance data and undetected errors in software.

Keywords

• estimated criticality lower-limit multiplication factor
• fuel debris
• mcci
• bootstrap method
• baseline upper-subcritical-limit