جغرافیا و توسعه (Aug 2023)

Structural Analysis of the Development Drivers Affecting the Realization of Land use Planning at the Kurdistan Province Based on the Role-Playing of Rural Areas

  • Soran Manouchehri,
  • Hamid Barghi,
  • Yousef Ghanbari

DOI
https://doi.org/10.22111/gdij.2023.44024.3462
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 21, no. 72
pp. 205 – 238

Abstract

Read online

The comprehensive and forward-looking nature of land use plans on the one hand and the continuous changes in the developmental environment due to the impact of trends, events and key factors that are referred to as drivers made the importance of identifying, controlling and planning on them in order to organize the rare space for development and the realization of the goals and missions of land planning essential. In the meantime, without the effective role of rural areas, the realization of the strategic document of the provinces' land use planning as the highest development document faces many challenges. Based on this, the current research, with emphasis on the first and important phase of prospective studies with the aim of identifying the most important driving forces affecting the empowerment of rural areas in order to play an effective role in realizing the goals, mission and vision of the strategic document of land use planning of Kurdistan province has been completed. In the current applied research with a descriptive-analytical method and with an exploratory approach using the Delphi technique, the main factors were identified and then by using the MicMac software, the relationships and the way of their influence and effectiveness, the effective drivers were determined. Finally, 60 variables with a management, economic, social, physical, natural and spatial nature in local, regional, national and transnational spatial scales were identified in the field of communication with the Kurdistan region of Iraq, and according to the way of influence 29 variables that had the greatest role in the performance of other variables were determined as the main propellants. The distribution of the identified variables and drivers ended with a compilation of all the main influencing dimensions, among which, drivers and variables of economic and managerial nature with the most influence in determining the change process and performance of other variables and drivers were determined. The distribution of more than 69 percent of main variables in the 1st or effective area, the 2nd or bimodal area and in the 4th or regulatory area, shows the complex and intertwined relationships and the sensitivity of control and planning on the drivers in order to achieve the goals and missions of the documents of the province is based on the role of its rural areas.

Keywords