Exchange rates and stock markets in emerging economies: new evidence using the Quantile-on-Quantile approach

Abstract

This study aims to reconsider the relationship between exchange rate and stock market returns for selected emerging countries. The quantile-on-quantile approach is employed to present an inclusive and detailed image of the association between the variables under investigation. This approach can reveal the heterogeneous and the varying relationship between the variables at different quantiles. The estimation outcome demonstrates that the examined countries' stock market performances are not affected by the exchange rate changes unless certain market conditions are established. The empirical results suggest that the exchange rate flexibility has a crucial role in determining the market returns depending on the bearish or bullish conditions. Considering the asymmetric nature of the relationship between the exchange rate and the stock market, presented results can aid governmental authorities and investors to design dynamic economic policies and investment strategies.

Keywords

• emerging economies
• stock market return
• exchange rate
• asymmetry
• quantile-on-quantile approach