Nature Communications (Apr 2021)
Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria
- Oliver J. Watson,
- Mervat Alhaffar,
- Zaki Mehchy,
- Charles Whittaker,
- Zack Akil,
- Nicholas F. Brazeau,
- Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg,
- Arran Hamlet,
- Hayley A. Thompson,
- Marc Baguelin,
- Richard G. FitzJohn,
- Edward Knock,
- John A. Lees,
- Lilith K. Whittles,
- Thomas Mellan,
- Peter Winskill,
- Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team,
- Natasha Howard,
- Hannah Clapham,
- Francesco Checchi,
- Neil Ferguson,
- Azra Ghani,
- Emma Beals,
- Patrick Walker
Affiliations
- Oliver J. Watson
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Mervat Alhaffar
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
- Zaki Mehchy
- Syria Team, Conflict Research Programme, London Schools of Economics
- Charles Whittaker
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Zack Akil
- Google Cloud Developer Advocacy, Google
- Nicholas F. Brazeau
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Arran Hamlet
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Hayley A. Thompson
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Marc Baguelin
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Richard G. FitzJohn
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Edward Knock
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- John A. Lees
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Lilith K. Whittles
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Thomas Mellan
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Peter Winskill
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team
- Natasha Howard
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
- Hannah Clapham
- Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System
- Francesco Checchi
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
- Neil Ferguson
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Azra Ghani
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- Emma Beals
- European Institute of Peace
- Patrick Walker
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22474-9
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 12,
no. 1
pp. 1 – 10
Abstract
Reported COVID-19 mortality rates have been relatively low in Syria, but there has been concern about overwhelmed health systems. Here, the authors use community mortality indicators and estimate that <3% of COVID-19 deaths in Damascus were reported as of 2 September 2020.
