Austrian Journal of Statistics (Feb 2016)

A Methodology for Predictive Maintenance in Semiconductor Manufacturing

  • Peter Scheibelhofer,
  • Dietmar Gleispach,
  • Günter Hayderer,
  • Ernst Stadlober

DOI
https://doi.org/10.17713/ajs.v41i3.171
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 41, no. 3

Abstract

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In order to occupy a competitive position in semiconductor industry the most important challenges a fabrication plant has to face are the reduction of manufacturing costs and the increase of production yield. Predictive maintenance is one possible way to address these challenges. In this paper we present an implementation of a universally applicable methodology based on the theory of regression trees and Random Forests to predict tool maintenance operations. We exemplarily show the application of the method by constructing a model for predictive maintenance of an ion implantation tool. To fit the problem adequately and to allow a descriptive interpretation we introduce the remaining time until next maintenance as a response variable. By using R and adequately analyzing data acquired during wafer processing a Random Forest model is constructed. We can show that under typical production conditions the model is able to predict a recurring maintenance operation sufficiently accurate. This example shows that better planning of maintenance operations allows for an increase in productivity and a reduction of downtime costs.