Bike-Sharing Travel Demand Forecasting via Travel Environment-Based Modeling

Abstract

This research aims to address the limited consideration given to non-motorized transport facilities in current studies on shared bike travel demand forecasting. This study is the first to propose a method that applies complete citywide non-motorized facility data to predict bike-sharing demand. This study employs a multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model to examine the effects of non-motorized transport facility conditions, quantity of intersections, and land use per unit area on riding demand at various spatial scales. The results of comparison experiments reveal that riding demand is substantially affected by non-motorized transport facilities and the quantity of intersections.

Keywords

• bike-sharing trip demand
• non-motorized transport facilities
• multiscale geographically weighted regression model