Trends in Monkeypox transmission: Investigation into 30 most affected countries
Salman A. Cheema,
Tahir Munir,
Kalim Ullah,
Tanveer Kifayat,
Abdur Rahman,
Walid Emam,
Yusra Tashkandy,
Saima K. Khosa,
Ahmad Zubair
Affiliations
Salman A. Cheema
Department of Applied Sciences, School of Sciences, National Textile University Faisalabad, Pakistan
Tahir Munir
Department of Anaesthesiology, the Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi 74800, Pakistan
Kalim Ullah
Foundation University Medical College, Foundation University School of Health Sciences, Pakistan
Tanveer Kifayat
Department of Computer Sciences, Shaheed Zulfikar Ali Bhutto Institute of Science and Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan
Abdur Rahman
Institute for Global Health and Development, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
Walid Emam
Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Faculty of Science, King Saud University, P.O. Box 2455, Riyadh 11451, Saudi Arabia
Yusra Tashkandy
Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Faculty of Science, King Saud University, P.O. Box 2455, Riyadh 11451, Saudi Arabia
Saima K. Khosa
Department of Mathematics and Statistics University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
Ahmad Zubair
Department of Statistics, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan; Corresponding author. Department of Statistics, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan.
This research is based on the analysis of Monkeypox transmission, from may 7, 2022 to October 11, 2022, in 30 most affected countries around the globe. The most affected countries are selected through the cut point of at least 100 reported confirmed cases of infected persons over the aforementioned time span. We novely argue the exhibition of distributional similarities between the viral flow and well known power law in context of this neglected zoonotic disease. Moreover, model-based evidence suggesting the capability of pathogen to spread far and wide around its nucleus, are collected and presented. It is estimated that 70 % of the reported confirmed cases belonged to 20 % of the top most affected countries. Also, 70 % of the reported transmission was inflicted in 34 % of the days of reporting at least one case, on average.
